Do I need to worry about the “fiscal cliff”?
This is a frequent question that we have heard from our clients and friends lately. Do I need to worry about the “fiscal cliff”?
We don’t think the fiscal cliff represents a long-term concern to investors’ portfolios. The market may make a temporary move down if a compromise is not reached before January 1st. However, an agreement is inevitable and the market should move forward with renewed confidence.
There are so many unknowns involved that the best course of action is likely no action at all. We are not making any special changes to our NorthStar client portfolios (FYI: our stock portfolio is up over 30% YTD for 2012; see details and performance disclosures).
It’s interesting to note that retail investors (aka individual, “mom and pop” investors) have been selling and fleeing the market in response to the fiscal cliff hype-a-palooza. Meanwhile, professional investors (institutions and hedge funds) have been strong buyers. See the chart below.