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Lessons of History

  • September 28, 2018/
  • Posted By : admin/
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  • Under : Best Practices, Seeking Prudent Advice

historyHistory provides a huge wealth of wisdom for helping us grow and protect our money.  Trader-turned-educator-turned-financial planner Tony Isola provides an awesome analysis of the application of history lessons:

How can investors act as applied historians and use this skill set to create wealth?

There are several minefields that could easily be avoided with some knowledge of the past:

  • Most market corrections don’t turn into bear markets.
  • Using leverage to boost investment returns often ends badly.
  • The president has very little control over the global economy.
  • Buying new financial products at market peaks is a poor idea.
  • Bull markets last much longer than bear markets.
  • Stocks are six times more likely to be up 20% than down the same amount.
  • Uncertainty is always present and it is not a wise choice to use it as an excuse not to invest.
  • Stocks will do the best job of protecting future purchasing power over long periods of time.
  • Investing in the fastest growing world economies will not guarantee higher investment returns.
  • Most recessions haven’t turned into depressions.
  • Investment costs, savings rates and time in the market are the biggest components in generating healthy investment returns.
  • Factor investing won’t work for most people because of their cognitive deficiencies.
  • There is a large behavior gap between total mutual fund returns and what investors actually receive.
  • The great majority of mutual fund managers will underperform low-cost index funds because of costs.
  • Diversification works, just not every year.
  • Stocks can stay massively over- and undervalued for very long periods of time.
  • Real returns after inflation are the only returns that matter.
  • Stocks are in a bull market 85% of the time.

All of the following can be proven with applied historical analysis. This is a much better strategy than relying on your gut, or believing a compelling story, when allocating money.

Source: Teachable Moment


Financial Readiness: As Critical as Fully Charged Batteries

  • September 11, 2018/
  • Posted By : admin/
  • 0 comments /
  • Under : Seeking Prudent Advice

In light of the threat of Hurricane Florence to the Southeast of the U.S. this week, we want to spotlight the following important FTC Consumer Alert:

Home is where most people feel safe and comfortable. But sometimes — say, when a hurricane, flood, tornado, wildfire, or other disaster strikes — it’s safest to pack up and go to another location.

The Federal Trade Commission (FTC), the nation’s consumer protection agency, says that when it comes to preparing for situations like weather emergencies, financial readiness is as important as a flashlight with fully charged batteries. Leaving your home can be stressful, but knowing that your financial documents are up-to-date, in one place, and portable can make a big difference at a tense time.

Here are some tips from the FTC for financial readiness in case of an emergency:

  • Conduct a household inventory. Make a list of your possessions and document it with photos or a video. This could help if you are filing insurance claims. Keep one copy of your inventory in your home on a shelf in a lockable, fireproof file box; keep another in a safe deposit box or another secure location.
  • Buy a lockable, fireproof file box. Place important documents in the box; keep the box in a secure, accessible location on a shelf in your home so that you can “grab it and go” if the need arises. Among the contents:
    • your household inventory
    • a list of emergency contacts, including family members who live outside your area
    • copies of current prescriptions
    • health insurance cards or information
    • policy numbers for auto, flood, renter’s, or homeowner’s insurance, and a list of telephone numbers of your insurance companies
    • copies of other important financial and family records — or notes about where they are — including deeds, titles, wills, birth and marriage certificates, passports, and relevant employee benefit and retirement documents. Except for wills, keep originals in a safe deposit box or some other location. If you have a will, ask your attorney to keep the
      original document.
    • a list of phone numbers or email addresses of your creditors, financial institutions, landlords, and utility companies (sewer, water, gas, electric, telephone, cable)
    • a list of bank, loan, credit card, mortgage, lease, debit and ATM, and investment account numbers
    • Social Security cards
    • backups of financial data you keep on your computer
    • an extra set of keys for your house and car
    • the key to your safe deposit box
    • a small amount of cash or traveler’s checks. ATMs or financial institutions may be closed.
  • Consider renting a safe deposit box for storage of important documents.Original documents to store in a safe deposit box might include:
    • deeds, titles, and other ownership records for your home, autos, RVs, or boats
    • credit, lease, and other financial and payment agreements
    • birth certificates, naturalization papers, and Social Security cards
    • marriage license/divorce papers and child custody papers
    • passports and military papers (if you need these regularly, you could place the originals in your fireproof box and a copy in your safe deposit box)
    • appraisals of expensive jewelry and heirlooms
    • certificates for stocks, bonds, and other investments and retirement accounts
    • trust agreements
    • living wills, powers of attorney, and health care powers of attorney
    • insurance policies
    • home improvement records
    • household inventory documentation
    • a copy of your will
  • Choose an out-of-town contact. Ask an out-of-town friend or relative to be the point of contact for your family, and make sure everyone in your family has the information. After some emergencies, it can be easier to make a long distance call than a local one.
  • Update all your information. Review the contents of your household inventory, your fireproof box, safe deposit box, and the information for your out-of-town contact at least once a year.

Source: Federal Trade Commission


The Best Advisors Will Tell You “NO”

  • August 17, 2018/
  • Posted By : admin/
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  • Under : Behavior, Best Practices, Seeking Prudent Advice

As a fiduciary we’re obligated to put our clients’ interests first. This essential mandate can on occasion run into direct conflict with what a client wants.  There are circumstances where an advisor knows that what the client is requesting defies common sense and is at odds with his or her long-term interest.

What kind of things are we talking about? Here’s a short list courtesy Barry Ritholtz:

• Taking on more risk than is prudent.

• Buying the hot new thing.

• Participating in an expensive, underperforming private investment (e.g., hedge funds, venture capital).

• Using excess leverage.

• Following the advice of pundits or talking heads.

• Overtrading.

• Pursuing the latest media fixation.

• Speculating in commodities.

• Allowing emotions to steer investments.

• Buying low-quality, high-yield “junk” fixed income paper.

• Buying non-liquid investments (private equity, gated private investments).

• Market timing.

• Buying IPOs.

• Cherry-picking portfolio allocations.

Our gently communicated but firm response to all of these is “NO.”  All the academic research in the world suggests these are a bad bet.  As Barry says, “if you want to make an expensive gamble, enjoy a lovely vacation to Monte Carlo, but please leave your retirement plans out of it.”

That’s our stance on this issue and we take it from a position of deep care and protection for our clients.  But what’s your opinion?  Should advisors do what a client wants, even when the advisor knows it is not in the client’s best interests?

P.S.  In case you’re wondering…here’s what a big “YES” is in our book:
We invest through a broadly diversified set of indexes via a robust asset allocation model. It is global, inexpensive and primarily passive. It is statistically what is most likely to generate the highest returns for the least amount of risk over the long-term.


10 Signs You Own the Right Portfolio

  • August 10, 2018/
  • Posted By : admin/
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  • Under : Behavior, Investing 101, Seeking Prudent Advice

ten

The following elegant observation comes courtesy of Jonathan Clements.

  1. You’re so well diversified that you always own at least one disappointing investment.
  2. Your livelihood isn’t riding on both your paycheck and your employer’s stock.
  3. If the stock market’s performance over the next five years was miserable, you wouldn’t be.
  4. You can remember the last time you rebalanced.
  5. You have no clue how your investments will perform, but a great handle on how much they’ll cost you.
  6. You don’t have any hot stocks to boast about.
  7. For every dollar you’ve salted away, you have an eventual use in mind—and the dollars are invested accordingly.
  8. Jim Cramer? Who’s that?
  9. A year from now, you plan to own the same investments.
  10. You never say to yourself, “Wow, I didn’t expect that.”

Source:  JC


Thank You for 12 Years!

  • July 3, 2018/
  • Posted By : admin/
  • 0 comments /
  • Under : Live Well, Seeking Prudent Advice

Twelve years ago today we launched our financial advisory practice framed upon three starkly beautiful motivations:

  • To do good
  • To do well by doing good
  • To be happy doing well by doing good

Helping families articulate, plan out, and live their great lives is a noble mission that we take up with unyielding energy and commitment.

Stars pivot around the North Star above Maunakea Observatory, Hawai’i

We would like to take this opportunity to thank all of you who’ve helped us on our journey. From the early clients who trusted us from the get go to our friends and family who’ve lent their support in more ways than we can list here. We would not be where we are without each and every one of you.

It has been an exciting and educational journey. As we look back, here are a few things we have learned.

  • Time is the key, not money. When we meet with prospective clients approaching retirement, universally they express regret that they didn’t get organized and motivated about finances until late in their professional lives. “I wish I would have found you 20 years ago” is the common refrain. Money is a commodity. Time is the precious resource.
  • Inertia is the enemy. “If you do the same thing you’ve always done, you will get the same thing you’ve always gotten.” Whatever path you are on, look up to the horizon to see where it leads. If you do not like where you are headed, you must pull up the stakes and change direction…NOW!
  • All successful investing is goal-focused and planning-driven. All failed investing is market-focused and performance-driven. All successful investors are continuously acting on a plan. All failed investors are continually reacting to the markets.

As we look forward to the next few decades of serving our clients and our community, know that we are constantly working to provide a superior client experience. It’s our firm conviction that planning can be the key that unlocks incredible potential for the good of our clients, their families, and their communities.

We look forward to all the future has in store.

With heartfelt gratitude,

Chris Mullis, Ph.D.
on behalf of the NorthStar team


What Buffett Wouldn’t Do and You Shouldn’t Either

  • June 28, 2018/
  • Posted By : admin/
  • 0 comments /
  • Under : Seeking Prudent Advice, Uncategorised

Warren Buffett

People often look to Warren Buffett, one of the greatest investors of all time, for guidance what to do.  But what about the opposite?  The Oracle of Omaha has a great list of “no-goes” enumerated in this Bloomberg article:

Investing:

  • Don’t be too fixated on daily moves in the stock market (from Berkshire letter published in 2014)
  • Don’t get excited about your investment gains when the market is climbing (1996)
  • Don’t be distracted by macroeconomic forecasts (2004)
  • Don’t limit yourself to just one industry (2008)
  • Don’t get taken by formulas (2009)
  • Don’t be short on cash when you need it most (2010)
  • Don’t wager against the U.S. and its economic potential (2015)

Management:

  • Don’t beat yourself up over wrong decisions; take responsibility for them (2001)
  • Don’t have mandatory retirement ages (1992)
  • “Don’t ask the barber whether you need a haircut” because the answer will be what’s best for the man with the scissors (1983)
  • Don’t dawdle (2006)
  • Don’t interfere with great managers (1994)
  • Don’t succumb to the attitudes that undermine businesses (2015)
  • Don’t be greedy about compensation, if you’re my successor (2015)

Source: Bloomberg


Financial Advising Jedi?

  • June 7, 2018/
  • Posted By : admin/
  • 0 comments /
  • Under : Seeking Prudent Advice

Although the recently released “Solo” is losing money for Disney, the older Star Wars movies have some positive money perspective.  Ryan Neal has a great piece on “Star Wars” lessons for financial planning.  Here are some excerpts and adaptations to help you answer the perennial question, Is my financial advisor a Jedi Master?

sw1The Power of Holistic Planning

As young Skywalker’s advisor, Obi Wan Kenobi teaches him that the Force, an energy field created by all living things that binds the galaxy together, is the source of his power. For financial advisors to truly unlock their potential, they need to have a holistic view of their clients’ financial lives, as well as a mastery of investment strategy. By understanding how various accounts, needs and goals all connect together, an advisor can be a truly powerful guide for their clients.

sw2Sticking to the Plan

While Luke is a neophyte just learning the ways of the Force, Han Solo is a hardened skeptic, disregarding advisors like Obi Wan Kenobi and instead preferring the lifestyle of a risk taker, which has led him to real problems with debt. When Luke gets distracted by Solo’s taunts, Kenobi reminds him to trust in his plan instead of making knee-jerk reactions. While things get rocky along the way, Luke eventually reaches his goal of becoming a Jedi Knight. It’s a good reminder for when the markets get rough: Trust in the plan, mitigate short-term emotional reactions, and focus on long-term goals. Han may call it luck, but advisors know there’s no such thing.

sw3The Quick and Easy Path Leads to the Dark Side

We learn more about the Force in the 1980s’ “Empire Strikes Back,” when Jedi master Yoda teaches Luke about the Dark Side. Like a good advisor, he tells Luke that chasing instant gratification, like investing heavily in a hot stock, can lead to ruin. When Luke ignores the advice, he’s almost defeated by Darth Vader. Yoda reminds us that patience is key with investing, not adventure or excitement.

sw4Know Your Advisor’s True Value

Though his investment strategy might be questionable, Han Solo does understand value. Luke is shocked when Solo initially discloses his fees to pilot them across the galaxy in the Millennium Falcon. Luke says he could buy and pilot his own starship for less, but Obi Wan Kenobi knows expertise can command a fair price and even offers to spend more to ensure results. It turned out that Luke didn’t know flying through hyperspace from dusting crops, and Solo’s experience came in handy.

sw5It’s Not Just About Money

Though Han Solo told Princess Leia that he doesn’t care about her or the rebellion, he becomes a true hero after he realizes that there’s more to life than money. Advisors are worth more than just allocating assets and providing returns; they can be even more valuable to clients by helping them navigate important milestones in life, like buying a home, sending kids to college, and retiring comfortably. Remember what Leia told Han: “If money is all that you love, then that’s what you’ll receive.”

sw5Don’t Judge by Appearances

“Judge me by my size, do you?” Yoda may be small, but his power with the force is great. Similarly, many investors often think bigger is better and don’t realize that small boutique firms can provide superior guidance.

 

sw6

Source: WM


10 Questions That Will Help Define Your Investment Philosophy

  • May 18, 2018/
  • Posted By : admin/
  • 0 comments /
  • Under : Investing 101, Seeking Prudent Advice

STOPANDTHINKTo define your investment philosophy, consider these key questions:

  1. What are your core investment beliefs?
  2. Do you understand your philosophy and why you believe in it?
  3. Do you know the potential risks?
  4. Does it suit your personality and individual circumstances?
  5. Will your philosophy help you follow whatever strategy you implement?
  6. What constraints are necessary for turning your philosophy into a portfolio?
  7. What will you own and why will you own it?
  8. What will cause you to buy or sell?
  9. What will cause you to make changes to your portfolio over time?
  10. What types of investments or strategies will you avoid?

 

Source: AAII


Jason Zweig’s Rules for Investing

  • April 27, 2018/
  • Posted By : admin/
  • 0 comments /
  • Under : Best Practices, Seeking Prudent Advice

money-brainJason Zweig is a leading financial journalist and author.  You’ll find his stuff in the Wall Street Journal several days a week.  Buried within the appendix of his book, Your Money & Your Brain, is this great list of common sense rules that are commonly ignored.

Jason Zweig’s Rules for Investing

1. Take the Global View: Use a spreadsheet to track your total net worth — not day-to-day price fluctuations.

2. Hope for the best, but expect the worst: Brace for disaster via diversification and learning market history. Expect good investments to do poorly from time to time. Don’t allow temporary under-performance or disaster to cause you to panic.

3. Investigate, then invest: Study companies’ financial statement, mutual funds’ prospectus, and advisors’ background. Do your homework!

4. Never say always: Never put more than 10% of your net worth into any one investment.

5. Know what you don’t know: Don’t believe you know everything. Look across different time periods; ask what might make an investment go down.

6. The past is not prologue: Investors buy low sell high! They don’t buy something merely because it is trending higher.

7. Weigh what they say: Ask any forecaster for their complete track record of predictions. Before deploying a strategy, gather objective evidence of its performance.

8. If it sounds too good to be true, it probably is: High Return + Low Risk + Short Time = Fraud.

9. Costs are killers: Trading costs can equal 1%; Mutual fund fees are another 1-2%; If middlemen take 3-5% of your cash, its a huge drag on returns.

10. Eggs go splat: Never put all your eggs in one basket; diversify across U.S., Foreign stocks, bonds and cash. Never fill your 401(k) with employee company stock.


Your Investing Philosophy in Ten Words or Less

  • March 30, 2018/
  • Posted By : admin/
  • 0 comments /
  • Under : Behavior, Investing 101, Seeking Prudent Advice

no-talkingBrevity is power.  If you truly understand something well, you can explain it in simple terms.  Ten individuals share their investing philosophies in 10 words or less:

  1. Barry Ritholtz, Bloomberg: “Keep it simple, do less, and manage your stupidity.” 
  2. Ben Carlson, author of A Wealth of Common Sense: “Less is more. Process over outcomes. Behavior is the key.”
  3. Harold Pollack, University of Chicago: “Save 15-20%. Low-fee Indexes. Pay off plastic. Maximize 401(k).”
  4. Robert Brokamp, Motley Fool: “Diversification reduces risk, increases predictability, and boosts returns.” 
  5. Michael Batnick, Ritholtz Wealth Management: “Avoiding catastrophic mistakes matters more than constructing the ‘perfect portfolio.'”
  6. Cullen Roche, Pragmatic Capitalism: “Low-fee, tax-efficient, index-based global-macro asset allocation.”
  7. Eddy Elfenbein, blogger, Crossing Wall Street: “Be patient and ignore fads. Focus on value. Never panic.”
  8. Seth Jayson, Motley Fool: “Be safe, keep your costs low, and don’t overthink.”
  9. Josh Brown, CNBC, The Reformed Broker: “Roses are red, violets are blue. I don’t know what will happen and neither do you.”
  10. Morgan Housel: “Worry only when you think you have it figured out.”

 

Source: MF

 


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