Weekly Market Review ~ Friday, 01/09/13
Stocks took a breather on Monday, as investors took some profits from last week’s steep run-up. The markets slid again on Tuesday leading up to Alcoa’s kick-off of the fourth quarter earnings cycle after hours. Alcoa’s positive earnings report gave the major indexes a boost on Wednesday, as the Dow and S&P 500 recouped part of their losses from earlier in the week. On Thursday the rise continued with an 80 point gain by the Dow on positive job news. While initial unemployment claims rose more than expected, continuing jobless claims sank to their lowest level in more than four years. The S&P 500 also hit a 5-year high. The week ended on Friday with stocks essentially unchanged after a disappointing earnings report by banking giant Wells Fargo.
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Financial Planning Made Easy?
Here’s an awesome chart from BusinessWeek:
Weekly Market Review ~ Friday, 01/04/13
The last day of 2012 was the best last day of a trading year ever, at least as far as the Dow is concerned which tacked on an additional 166 points on increasing optimism over a fiscal cliff solution. Trading resumed on Wednesday after New Years with a bang, as the markets reacted to the long-awaited, if not tardy, fiscal cliff solution from Congress. The 308 point Dow gain was its largest ever for the first trading day of a year. The rally stopped on Thursday following news that some Fed Reserve members are in favor of ending its bond-buying initiative to stimulate the economy. Still, the day’s losses were minimal. On Friday, stocks continued their upward trek on a job report that met expectations. The US unemployment rate rose marginally from 7.7% to 7.8%. The Dow finished at a 5-year high.
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IRS Raising Limits on Retirement Contributions for 2013
Good news! The Internal Revenue Service has raised the annual limit on contributions to 401(k)s and individual retirement accounts.
The new contribution limits for 2013 are the following:
- 401(k): $17,500 ($23,000 if you are 50 years old or older)
- Traditional/IRA Rollover: $5,500 ($6,500 if you are 50 years old or older)
- Roth IRA: $5,500 ($6,500 if you are 50 years old or older)
- SIMPLE IRA: $12,000 ($14,500 if you are 50 years old or older)
- SEP IRA: $51,000 ($51,550 if you are 50 years old or older)
Remember you can still make IRA contributions until April 15, 2013 for tax year 2012 but the old 2012 contribution limits will apply.
Why is this good news?
First, it’s always nice to have the ability to defer taking the tax hit on a bit more money. Second, these increased contribution limits give you the opportunity to put aside more money for your retirement. This accumulation is often more important than allocation, particularly when you’re first staring off as an investor. Your personal savings rate, the amount of money you’re saving and investing for the future, is just as critical as your rate of return.
Weekly Market Review ~ Friday, 12/28/12
Monday’s trading was light, as markets closed early at 1PM for Christmas, with little change in the major indexes. Trading resumed again on Wednesday, with stocks sliding moderately as holiday sales numbers were disappointing. On Thursday large early losses were mostly recovered on optimism that Congress and the President would work out an agreeable fiscal cliff plan. Still, the Dow lost ground for a fourth straight session. The week ended on Friday with large losses, as the optimism over a fiscal cliff plan waned. The Dow and the S&P 500 moved into negative territory for the month with just a half-day of trading left in the month.
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Fortune’s 10 Stocks To Last The Decade? Forget about it!
This time of year magazines and newspapers are brimming with articles purporting the virtues of “buy-and-forget” portfolios comprised of “10 stocks to last the decade” and the likes.
Despite the exuberance of these articles and investors’ never-ending quest for the magic bullet to put their portfolios on the right path, these sort of recommendations are almost always categorically wrong and should be ignored.
We’re strong believers in making data-driven decisions when it comes to investments. So what do the numbers say when it comes to the buy-and-forget portfolios? In August 2000, Fortune magazine recommended “10 stocks to last the decade” based on their prediction of major trends that should shape the next 10 years.
Here’s are those 10 stocks and their share price on August 14, 2000 when Fortune published their article:
- Nokia (NOK: $54)
- Nortel Networks (NT: $77)
- Enron (ENE: $73)
- Oracle (ORCL: $74)
- Broadcom (BRCM: $237)
- Viacom (VIA: $69)
- Univision (UVN: $113)
- Charles Schwab (SCH: $36)
- Morgan Stanley Dean Witter (MWD: $89)
- Genentech (DNA: $150)
And here are these stocks’ value a decade later on December 19, 2012:
- Nokia (NOK: $4.22, -92.2%)
- Nortel Networks (NT: $0, -100%)
- Enron (ENE: $0, –100%)
- Oracle (ORCL: $34.22, -53.8%)
- Broadcom (BRCM: $33.28, -86.0%)
- Viacom (VIA: $54.17, -21.5%)
- Univision (UVN: $0, -100%)
- Charles Schwab (SCH: $14.61, -59.4%)
- Morgan Stanley Dean Witter (MWD: $14.20, -84.0%)
- Genentech (DNA: $95, -36.7%)
If you had taken Fortune’s advice, your portfolio would have tanked, falling 63.8% ! During the same 10 years the S&P 500 gained 23.4%.
Searching for the best thing for your portfolio? Spend your time finding a very good adviser and avoid articles & TV shows that are overly focused on your investments.
Weekly Market Review ~ Friday, 12/21/12
Stocks logged a healthy 1% gain on Monday after news spread that US House Speaker John Boehner proposed a fiscal plan that included a tax rate increase, a first for the Republican side during the fiscal cliff discussions. Th Dow added an additional 100+ points on Tuesday, as further progress in fiscal cliff talks were made. On Wednesday the market gave back most of Tuesday’s gains when fiscal cliff talks stalled, as President Obama indicated he would veto Boehner’s “Plan B” that would raise taxes only on households earning more than $1 million. The major indexes experienced moderate gain on Thursday on positive economic news on several fronts. Third quarter GDP was revised up to 3.1%, November existing home sales rose more than expected, and the Philly Fed index of business activity increased much more than expected. Fiscal cliff concerns returned on Friday as a last-minute deal has not yet been struck by Washington. The Dow dropped 120 points as a result.
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Weekly Market Review ~ Friday, 12/14/12
On Monday, the major indexes traded in a narrow range around the unchanged mark as investors continue to wait for progress to be made in fiscal cliff talks. Despite marginally bad wholesale inventory and business optimism index reports, stocks enjoyed a strong showing on Tuesday, as the Dow moved back above the mark it held on election day last month. On Wednesday the Dow extended its winning streak to six sessions, albeit with a very tiny gain, despite the Fed’s announcement that interest rates would remain very low as long as the unemployment rate stays above 6.5%. A larger than expected drop in jobless claims failed to spark the market on Thursday, as moderate losses brought stocks down. The week ended on Friday on another down note as the S&P 500 lost its weekly gains despite a lack of bad news on the day.
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