Weekly Market Review ~ Friday, 05/18/12
Last week’s slide continued on Monday with a 1% loss on concern that Greece may disconnect itself from the Euro currency. On Tuesday the Dow fell to a 4-month low, once again on worries about Greece. It was much of the same on Wednesday, although the Dow managed to keep its losses small. The losses continued on Thursday, as the small-cap Russell 2000 index has dropped 10% since its recent high in March. Stocks finished off the week on Friday with yet another loss. Even Facebook’s IPO could not energize the markets, as the Dow finished with a loss in 12 of the last 13 trading sessions, including every day this week.
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Facebook — How Not To Invest in the Stock Market
Despite predictions that its stock would soar on its first day of trading, Facebook was a big fizzle. In fact, Facebook’s underwriters struggled to keep the price from plunging through the initial offering price of $38 to avoid a huge embarrassment (note how the price flat lined at $38 starting at ~3:30pm on Friday, 5/18/12).
Despite widespread belief to contrary, buying a stock because you know the company or “feel good about the company” is no way to invest. This kind of thinking can be very dangerous to one’s financial health. Moreover, this approach is usually coupled with a strong emotional attachment that causes investors to hold onto that company much too long once the share price begins to deteriorate.
Warren Buffet once said, “You may have all these feelings about a stock, but a stock doesn’t know you own it. It doesn’t care what you paid for a stock.” It’s wise to use your head, not your heart, to keep emotions from corroding your investment discipline.
Weekly Market Review ~ Friday, 05/11/12
Major political upheaval in France and Greece over the weekend failed to have much of an impact on the markets on Monday, as initial trepidation in the morning faded, and the major indexes finished near the unchanged mark. On Tuesday, the Dow lost ground for the fifth straight session on concerns over the fallout from the recent Greek elections. The slide continued on Wednesday, with Spanish stocks falling to to their lowest levels since 2003 as Eurozone unrest continues. On Thursday the Dow finally managed a gain after six consecutive losses, although the gain was quite modest, following a mildly encouraging US labor report. Stocks finished the week on Friday down once again after J.P. Morgan announced a $2 billion loss that temporarily roiled banking stocks.
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Weekly Market Review ~ Friday, 05/04/12
On Monday, stocks finished off the month with a loss following news that Spain’s economy shrunk again for a second consecutive quarter. Still, the Dow managed to end the month with its seventh consecutive monthly gain. May started on an up note on Tuesday, with the Dow once again hitting a four-year high on good manufacturing news. On Wednesday the major indexes finished mixed, as a report indicating that private-sector job growth seems to be slowing dampened buyers’ enthusiasm. On Thursday, stocks fell once again in anticipation of Friday’s US employment report. The selling accelerated on Friday, as the employment report failed to meet expectations. While the unemployment rate slipped down to 8.1%, this decline was mainly due to workers leaving the work force rather than an increase in the number of new jobs.
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Leveraged and Inverse ETFs — Most Investors Should Avoid Them
Leveraged and inverse ETFs are difficult to understand and are not a good fit for long-term investors.
Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) trade daily on exchanges like stocks. Leveraged versions use complex futures and derivatives to amplify the daily returns of an index, often times trying to double or triple the return. Inverse ETFs strive to return the opposite of the index.
When ETFs are held for longer than a day, the effects of compounding can produce results that vary significantly from the one-day outcome. This makes leveraged and inverse ETFs unpredictable and risky to hold for longer periods.
Citi, Morgan Stanley, UBS and Wells Fargo are paying $9.1M to settle allegations on leveraged ETFs. These banks were fined $7.3 million and they agreed to pay $1.8 million in restitution to some customers who were sold leveraged and inverse ETFs. Industry regulators allege the banks sold billions of dollars of these volatile investments without properly assessing their risks and whether they were suitable for retail customers. (“Retail” customers are individual investors versus “institutional” investors like pensions and hedge funds).
The Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA) and the Security & Exchange Commission (SEC) have previously warned the investing public about the risks of leveraged and inverse ETFs, particularly for those investing for the long term.
Weekly Market Review ~ Friday, 04/27/12
Stocks kicked off the week on Monday with renewed fear on European debt and the state of Europe’s economy, as the Dow dropped 100 points. Tuesday was a good day for blue chip stocks, but a poor day for tech stocks, as Apple weighed down the NASDAQ index to give that index its fifth consecutive loss. This downturn in Apple and the NASDAQ was quickly reversed on Wednesday, with an encouraging earnings report by Apple. A reassuring statement by Fed chief Ben Bernanke that interest rates will remain low also gave a boost to the market in general. On Thursday, stocks rose again despite a disappointing US jobs report. Stocks closed the week on Friday with another gain following several solid earnings reports, most notably by Amazon.
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“Stock-Picking Robot” — Really?
A pair of 21-year-old twin brothers (Alexander and Thomas Hunter) from the UK duped thousands of investors in the US into believing that a fictitious “stock-picking robot” could find penny stocks set to surge in price.
According to a lawsuit from the SEC, approximately 75,000 investors paid a total of $1.2 million for a newsletter subscription and home “robot software”. The Hunter twins used the newsletter and fake software to feed spurious stock tips to unwitting investors in a “pump and dump” scheme. The Hunters were also paid by companies to tout specific stocks.
The lessons here should be obvious. Lots of people
- Want to get rich quick
- Think investing has some magic bullet or secret formula for success
- Are essentially and critically uninformed about the markets
- Desperately need help with their investing and financial planning
If it sounds too good to be true, it probably is. If in doubt, seek the expert opinion of a competent, professional, and ethical investment advisor.
Weekly Market Review ~ Friday, 04/20/12
The Dow, NASDAQ, and S&P 500 finished with an unusual 1.4% spread on Monday, as the Dow reacted well to a positive retail sales report, while Apple dragged down tech stocks. On Tuesday all the major indexes soared following a successful Spanish bond sale that indicates that the beleaguered European country will not need a bailout. The market gave back some of these gains on Wednesday after earnings reports from tech giants IBM and Intel disappointed investors. On Thursday the downturn continued when US labor, housing, and manufacturing reports did not meet expectations. Stocks wrapped up the week on Friday with another split decision as good earnings reports from GE and Microsoft propelled the Dow upward, while the NASDAQ and S&P 500 lagged.
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